Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.511875 0.593764 0.683871 0.790286 0.912436 1.048176 1.210371
2025-05-04 0.385288 0.498759 0.636987 0.817316 1.045906 1.325540 1.693097
2025-05-11 0.309610 0.433918 0.596854 0.825102 1.135533 1.541849 2.112738
2025-05-18 0.255525 0.382360 0.558919 0.821068 1.198588 1.720445 2.494027
2025-05-25 0.214044 0.339238 0.522930 0.809845 1.244014 1.873101 2.849539
2025-06-01 0.183381 0.306109 0.494910 0.803497 1.291550 2.028895 3.220914
2025-06-08 0.154745 0.271135 0.458260 0.777273 1.302859 2.128077 3.512971
2025-06-15 0.145709 0.266479 0.468348 0.825486 1.435318 2.425530 4.142270
2025-06-22 0.125210 0.239007 0.436740 0.799682 1.441779 2.519544 4.448898
2025-06-29 0.108304 0.215355 0.408352 0.775193 1.446301 2.608532 4.752699
2025-07-06 0.094790 0.195976 0.384920 0.756170 1.457229 2.707690 5.080981
2025-07-13 0.087596 0.187728 0.380842 0.772007 1.532415 2.925731 5.639286
2025-07-20 0.083928 0.186298 0.390048 0.815161 1.665156 3.263733 6.455632
2025-07-27 0.078344 0.180168 0.389355 0.838966 1.763614 3.548378 7.201596
2025-08-03 0.071824 0.171044 0.381343 0.846727 1.830586 3.778494 7.863364
2025-08-10 0.065040 0.160305 0.368499 0.842581 1.872204 3.961807 8.448221
2025-08-17 0.058475 0.149087 0.353164 0.831076 1.896738 4.112348 8.979642
2025-08-24 0.053050 0.139763 0.340824 0.824568 1.930933 4.285102 9.571647
2025-08-31 0.046876 0.127674 0.320620 0.797687 1.917014 4.354914 9.951520
2025-09-07 0.046128 0.129210 0.332588 0.847109 2.080432 4.819459 11.224130
2025-09-14 0.040984 0.118523 0.313752 0.820658 2.065500 4.891573 11.638246
2025-09-21 0.036496 0.108911 0.296344 0.795555 2.050848 4.962417 12.054952
2025-09-28 0.032779 0.100859 0.281875 0.776053 2.047501 5.058312 12.536914